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Jeff Russell
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Date: 2023-05-30 02:54 am (UTC)On your first point, I'd say that those are examples of engineering, not fundamental physics. Physics has been trying to make String Theory yield the kind of insights relativity and the quantum revolution did since the 70s, and from what I've heard, it has not been working. And folks like Peter Thiel say that outside of computers, we haven't been advancing much on engineering either.
That aside, as for "collapsing," I should reiterate that Spengler didn't characterize the transition from Culture to Civilization as "collapse" - he pinned the Apollonian transition from Culture to Civilization as happening between Alexander and Augustus - the entire imperial period of the western Roman Empire is during the "Civilization" period.
And yes, when our Culture/Civilization collapses, it seems very likely that one of China/India/Russia/some other Culture will have the most material power.